UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
________________
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 21, 2005
Citi Trends, Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware |
333-123028 |
52-2150697 |
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(IRS Employer Identification No.) |
102 Fahm Street, Savannah, Georgia 31401
(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrants telephone number, including area code: (912) 236-1561
Former name or former address, if changed since last report: Not applicable
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (See General Instruction A.2 below):
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] Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
[ |
] Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
[ ] Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
[ ] Pre- commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On November 21, 2005, Citi Trends, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the Company), issued a press release reporting its financial results for the thirteen and thirty-nine weeks ended October 29, 2005 (the Earnings Announcement). A copy of the Earnings Announcement is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K (Current Report) as Exhibit 99.1 and the contents of which are incorporated herein solely for purposes of this Item 2.02 disclosure. On November 21, 2005, the Company held a conference call to discuss its financial results for the thirteen and thirty-nine weeks ended October 29, 2005. A transcript of that conference call is attached to this Current Report as Exhibit 99.2.
The information in this Current Report, including the exhibits attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of such section. The information in this Current Report, including the exhibits, shall not be incorporated by reference into any filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended or the Exchange Act, regardless of any incorporation by reference language in any such filing.
Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.
A copy of the Earnings Announcement is being furnished by being attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(c) Exhibits
Exhibit No. |
Description |
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99.1 |
Press Release dated November 21, 2005 |
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99.2 |
Transcript of conference call held by Citi Trends, Inc. on November 21, 2005 | ||
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
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CITI TRENDS, INC. |
Date: November 23, 2005 |
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By: /s/ Thomas W. Stoltz | |
Name: Thomas W. Stoltz
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Title: |
Chief Financial Officer |
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Exhibit Index |
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Exhibit No. |
Description |
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99.1 |
Press Release dated November 21, 2005. |
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99.2 |
Transcript of conference call held by Citi Trends, Inc. on November 21, 2005 |
Exhibit 99.1
CITI TRENDS, INC. ANNOUNCES FISCAL 2005 THIRD QUARTER EARNINGS
Earnings per Share Increased to $0.18 from $0.02 for the Prior-Year Period
Fiscal 2005 Earnings Guidance Range Increased to $1.00 to $1.03 per Share
Fiscal 2006 Earnings Guidance of $1.12 to $1.17 per Share Excluding Stock Option Compensation Expense
SAVANNAH, GA (November 21, 2005) Citi Trends, Inc. (NASDAQ: CTRN) today reported results for the 13-week and 39-week periods ended October 29, 2005.
Financial Highlights 13 weeks ended October 29, 2005
Total net sales increased 51.8% to $69.9 million compared with $46.0 million for the 13-week period ended October 30, 2004. Comparable store sales increased 25.0% compared with a 3.0% increase in the prior-year quarter. Relocated and expanded stores are included in the comparable store sales results. Net income increased to $2.6 million compared with $165,000 for the prior-year quarter. Earnings per diluted share increased to $0.18 compared with $0.02 in the prior-year quarter.
As discussed in the previous press release relating to October sales, the Companys results were net positively impacted by Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma. Sales and earnings results for September and October for stores in the impacted areas were substantially higher than the remainder of the stores. Four stores remain closed as a result of the hurricanes. Sales in the non-affected comparable stores increased approximately 17% to 19% for the third fiscal quarter, compared to the overall comparable store sales increase of 25%.
Financial Highlights 39 weeks ended October 29, 2005
Total net sales increased 40.7% to $193.0 million compared with $137.1 million for the 39-week period ended October 30, 2004. Comparable store sales increased 14.1% compared with a 2.1% increase in the prior-year period. Net income increased 166% to $6.3 million compared with $2.4 million for the prior-year period. Earnings per diluted share increased 123% to $0.49 compared with $0.22 in the prior-year period. Included in these net income results is a one-time termination fee paid in connection with the Companys initial public offering, incurred in the second quarter of fiscal 2005, of $1.2 million, or $0.06 per diluted share.
For the year-to-date period, the Company opened 26 stores, reaching a total store count of 226 (including the four stores currently closed due to the hurricanes). In the fourth quarter, the Company plans to open an additional 11 stores bringing the store count to 237. The Company expects to re-open by year end from none to two of the four stores currently closed, bringing the stores in operation at year end to 233 to 235.
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CTRN Announces Fiscal 2005 Third Quarter Results
Page 2
November 21, 2005
Fiscal 2005 Outlook
Based upon results in the third fiscal quarter and the current expectations for the fourth fiscal quarter, the Company now expects to report earnings (excluding the one-time termination fee paid in connection with the Companys initial public offering of $1.2 million, or $0.06 per diluted share) for fiscal 2005 of between $1.00 to $1.03 per diluted share. This estimate is based upon fiscal 2005 comparable store sales of between 10% and 13%, 13.3 million diluted shares outstanding and the opening of 37 new stores during the year.
Fiscal 2006 Outlook
The Company estimates fiscal 2006 earnings of between $1.12 and $1.17 per diluted share. This estimate is based upon a fiscal 2006 comparable store sales increase of between 2% and 3%, 14.5 million diluted shares outstanding, and the opening of 42 to 45 new stores with 2 projected closings. The new store openings in fiscal 2006 are expected to increase selling square footage by approximately 20%. Total sales and net income are expected to increase 20-23% for the year. Due to the exceptional sales and earnings results in the second and third quarters of fiscal 2005, comparisons in 2006 against these results will be difficult. The above estimates for 2006 do not include stock option compensation expense which will be required under FAS 123R. The Companys current estimate for 2006 stock option compensation expense is approximately $1.0 million to $1.5 million, or approximately $0.04 to $0.07 per diluted share.
The Company reminds investors of the complexity of accurately assessing future growth given the difficulty in predicting fashion trends, consumer preferences and general economic conditions and the impact of other business variables.
Investor Conference Call and Webcast
Citi Trends will host a conference call on November 21, 2005, at 5:00 p.m. EST. The number to call for the live interactive teleconference is (913) 981-5510. A replay of the conference call will be available until November 28, 2005, by dialing (719) 457-0820 and entering the passcode, 4373471.
The live broadcast of Citi Trends' quarterly conference call will be available online at the Company's website, www.cititrends.com, as well as http://ir.cititrends.com/medialist.cfm on November 21, 2005, beginning at 5:00 p.m. EST. The online replay will follow shortly after the call and continue through December 5, 2005.
About Citi Trends
Citi Trends, Inc. is a value-priced retailer of urban fashion apparel and accessories for the entire family. The Company currently operates 226 stores (including the four stores currently closed due to the hurricanes) located in 12 states in the South, Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions, and our website address is www.cititrends.com. CTRN-E
CTRN Announces Fiscal 2005 Third Quarter Results
Page 3
November 21, 2005
Forward-Looking Statements
All statements other than historical facts contained in this news release, including statements regarding our future financial position, business policy and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements that are subject to material risks and uncertainties. The words "believe," "may," "could," "estimate," "continue," "anticipate," "intend," "expect" and similar expressions, as they relate to Citi Trends, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance or results and are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, some of which cannot be predicted or quantified, and that actual results or developments may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors which are discussed in Citi Trends, Inc. filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, uncertainties relating to economic conditions, growth and expansion risks, consumer spending patterns, competition within the industry, competition in our markets and the ability to anticipate and respond to fashion trends. Except as required by applicable law, including the securities laws of the United States and the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Citi Trends does not undertake to publicly update any forward-looking statements in this news release or with respect to matters described herein, whether as a result of any new information, future events or otherwise.
Contact: |
Tom Stoltz |
Ed Anderson |
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Citi Trends, Inc. |
Citi Trends, Inc. |
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Chief Financial Officer |
Chief Executive Officer | |||
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(912) 443-2075 |
(912) 443-3705 |
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Exhibit 99.2
CITI TRENDS
Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
Page 1
CITI TRENDS
Moderator: Tom Stoltz
November 21, 2005
4:00 p.m. CT
Operator: Good day and welcome to the Citi Trends conference call. Todays call is being recorded.
At this time for opening remarks and introductions I would like to turn the call over to the Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Tom Stoltz. Please go ahead, sir.
Tom Stoltz: Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Also on the call today with me is Ed Anderson, Chief Executive Officer, and George Bellino, President and Chief Merchandising Officer.
By now everyone should have seen our third quarter earnings release that was sent out shortly after 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time today. If you have not received the release, it is available on our company Web site under the Investor Relations section and the subfolder Investors at www.cititrends.com.
You should be aware that the prepared remarks made during this call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. These statements do not guarantee future performance and, therefore, undue reliance should not be placed upon them. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and
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other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially. We refer all of you to the companys most recent report on Form S-1, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, for a more detailed discussion of the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in any forward-looking statements.
Ed Anderson and I will give brief presentations, after which all three of us will address any questions you may have.
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With that said, I would like to now turn the call over to Ed. |
Ed Anderson: Thank you, Tom. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us.
We are pleased to continue our life as a public company by announcing another very strong quarter. Our sales and earnings results were well above our expectations and continue the very strong momentum that weve been seeing. We will provide some additional details on this performance and then cover our outlook for next year.
I will present an overview of the quarters results and make a few comments about the companys growth and future plans. Tom will review the financial results in more detail and conclude with earnings guidance for both fiscal 2005 and 2006. Then well be happy to answer your questions.
In the third quarter net sales increased 51.8 percent over last year to $69.9 million from $46 million. Comparable store sales increased 25 percent in the quarter, with each month of the quarter posting strong year over year increases. Ill speak more about sales and the drivers of our sales in a few minutes.
Net earnings for the quarter were $2.6 million or 18 cents per share, nearly 16 times the net earnings of a year ago. This growth was the result of an across the board improvement in each
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11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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functional area of the company. Our merchandise gross margin rate increased, our ratio of SG&A to sales decreased (in fact, we had substantial expense leverage in all three principle expense areas: stores, distribution and corporate), and new store sales - the classes of 2004 and 2005 stores - continued to exceed our expectations.
Sales were strong across all merchandise categories. Comparable sales increases for the quarter by category were mens up 28 percent, womens up 24 percent, childrens up 24 percent, accessories up 18 percent, and home furnishings up 40 percent. The common thread across merchandise categories was that nationally recognized brands sales continued to increase at a higher rate than other non-branded merchandise and with these strong sales markdowns were significantly less than last year. We sell urban fashions, including nationally recognized urban brands such as PhatFarm, BabyPhat, RocaWear, AppleBottoms and Dickies. Our value conscious customer has a strong appetite for current urban fashions at strong value prices.
This quarters comparable sales increases were driven by increased customer traffic as well as small increases in our average price per item and transaction size. In fact, 21 percent of the 25 percent comparable store sales increase came from increased customer transactions. We believe this increased traffic could continue to yield benefits into the future, as we have attracted new customers to our stores.
While our sales certainly benefited from the post hurricane traffic, we also benefited from strong sales momentum built up from the previous three quarters. Total inventories at the end of the quarter were up 34 percent over last years third quarter and comparable store inventories were up 14 percent over the same time last year. Our sales momentum has continued into November. Our inventories are properly balanced and well positioned for a successful holiday selling season.
We opened five new stores in the third quarter, bringing our total to 26 new stores so far in 2005. We expect to open 37 new stores for the entire year. The 2005 new stores are slightly larger in
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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size than the new stores we opened since 2003. This years new store sales have exceeded our forecast and are running ahead of last years new stores on a per store basis. This new store performance is the result of our strong sales in general as well as some very good store locations.
Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma had a large impact on our quarter. Our thoughts remain with those residents and employees working to get their lives back to normal in those regions. As storms caused us to lose over 400 store sales days, we experienced a rebound in sales that was unprecedented for us.
While we could not anticipate that this hurricane season would be even more destructive than last year, we likewise could not have anticipated the rebound effect that would result from our customers purchasing needed apparel and other items in the wake of the storms. We experienced post hurricane sales in affected markets that more than made up for the loss of sales from closed stores in September and October. The hurricane impact was best demonstrated by the difference between our reported comparable store sales results for the entire company and for those stores not affected by the hurricanes. Sales in the non-affected stores were up 17 to 19 percent in the quarter while overall comparable sales were up 25 percent. We currently have four stores that remain closed, two of which could reopen in the fourth quarter.
We announced in October that we had acquired a 286,500 square foot distribution center in Darlington, South Carolina. The new distribution center complements our two existing facilities in the Savannah area that total approximately 240,000 square feet. This additional distribution center space means that we now have enough DC capacity to support twice our existing sales volume.
The facility has ideal access to major interstate highways and has available acreage for expansion. The building is located almost in the middle of our current market and is more
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convenient to our suppliers. Additionally, the Darlington County area offers a very attractive labor market.
With the cost of the facility, the improvements and new equipment ranging from $3 million to $4 million in the aggregate, weve been able to secure a first class facility at a very attractive cost. The total cost for this facility is much less than the $12 million to $15 million we would have spent to build and outfit a new building.
We are currently installing new racking and conveyors along with our existing warehouse systems. We will very gradually bring this building on line, minimizing any potential disruptions. Well begin receiving and shipping small amounts in December. While we expect there to be some startup costs in the first few months, we do not anticipate those costs to be material. This was a very important announcement for us in this quarter as we build the infrastructure for our expected growth.
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Now Ill turn the call back to Tom. |
Tom Stoltz: Thank you, Ed.
We are pleased to report a record third quarter for us, with strong sales and earnings growth. This afternoon I would like to walk through several of our income statement items and then spend some time on our fiscal 05 and 06 guidance.
As Ed mentioned, our total sales for the quarter were $69.9 million versus $46 million last year. This represents a 51.8 percent increase in year over year sales. Comparable store sales rose 25 percent versus 3 percent in the 2004 period.
CITI TRENDS
Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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The monthly comparable increases during the third quarter were as follows August 20.3 versus 6.7 percent last year, September 19.5 versus 1.7 last year, and October 37 percent versus flat last year. For the year to date total sales were $193 million or an increase of 40.7 percent over the prior year. Comparable sales were up 14.1 percent for the year to date.
Moving on to gross margins, for the quarter we reported 38.7 percent compared to our prior year rate of 36.7 percent. As Ed mentioned, nearly all the increase was a result of well positioned and balanced inventories, along with strong sales trends that resulted in fewer goods to clear and, therefore, reduced markdown levels.
Freight costs as a percent of sales were constant with a year ago, while shrinkage was down slightly. Shrinkage remained in the range of 2.5 to 3.0 percent at retail. As a reminder, our gross profits do not include distribution and/or occupancy costs, as some retailers report.
For the year to date, gross margin was 38.3 percent compared to 37.1 percent last year, with the improvement coming in the second and third quarters as a result of reduced markdowns.
SG&A expenses were 33.3 percent of sales for the quarter compared to 35.6 percent last year, as payroll and occupancy costs were leveraged. Labor productivity improved substantially in stores and in our distribution facilities. The SG&A leverage was realized despite approximately $300,000 of being public costs in the quarter and a reserve taken for potential uninsured hurricane losses of $700,000. The company is investigating the insurers claim that the New Orleans area damages are from a separate flood event and, therefore, require a much higher deductible.
For the year to date, SG&A as a percent of sales was 33.3 percent compared to 33.9 percent last year. Included in this amount was the termination fee paid in connection with the companys initial public offering in the second quarter totaling $1.2 million on a pretax basis. Excluding the
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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termination fee, SG&A was 32.7 percent compared to 33.9 percent last year, again despite about $700,000 of being public costs and a $700,000 reserve for hurricane losses in the year to date.
Each of the items previously discussed led to an earnings increase of nearly 16 times for the quarter to $2.6 million compared to $165,000 last year. Earnings per diluted share were 18 cents versus two cents last year, with 14.38 million weighted average shares outstanding.
For the year to date, net income was $6.3 million or an increase of 166 percent over the prior year of $2.4 million. Excluding the termination fee, net income was $7 million or an increase of 198 percent over the prior year and nearly as much as our net income for the entire year of fiscal 2004.
Year to date earnings per diluted share were 49 cents compared to 22 cents last year, up 123 percent. The earnings per diluted share increase for both the quarter and the year to date periods is smaller than the net income increase because of the IPO shares issued during the second quarter of this year. Excluding the termination fee, earnings per diluted share was 55 cents or an increase of 150 percent.
Our tax rate for the year to date was 36.2 percent, adjusted down from the end of the second quarter to reflect tax-exempt interest and jobs tax credits earned. We expect a rate of around 36 percent to continue throughout 05 and 06.
Now moving on to guidance for the remainder of fiscal 2005. We ended the third quarter with a store count of 226, including four stores remaining closed, as mentioned, due to the hurricanes. We plan to open 11 stores in the fourth quarter, bringing our year total to 37 new store openings and our stores in operation to between 233 and 235, assuming none to two of the closed stores are reopened in the fourth quarter.
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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We now expect the full year of fiscal 2005 earnings per diluted share to fall in a range of $1.00 to $1.03 based on 13.3 million diluted shares outstanding, a full year tax rate of approximately 36 percent, comparable store sales increases of 10 to 13 percent, the opening of 37 new stores, and total sales ranging from $273 million to $278 million. I would remind you that this EPS range excludes the $1.2 million termination fee. The EPS range for fiscal 05 is $0.94 to $0.97, including this charge.
Now Id like to talk about our fiscal 2006 guidance. Our position remains unchanged with the practice of sales and earnings guidance. We will address the current trends of each quarter and give you an update on our full year expectations.
Our initial estimate for 2006 is EPS of $1.12 to $1.17. This is based upon full year comparable store sales increases of between two to three percent and 14.5 million diluted shares outstanding. We also expect to open 42 to 45 new stores and close two. This store opening plan will result in an increase of approximately 20 percent in selling square footage. Our estimate for fiscal 2006 does not include the expensing of stock options as required under FAS 123R, which we estimate to be approximately $1 million to $1.5 million pretax or approximately four to seven cents per share.
In addition, gross margins for the year are expected to decline 30 to 40 basis points, as markdown rates increase to closer to historical norms. This decrease in gross margins is expected to be offset by SG&A expense leverage, primarily in corporate costs and about 10 basis points of improvement in interest income year over year.
Our long-term goals are to continue to deliver annual square footage growth of approximately 20 percent through new stores, low to mid single digit comparable store sales increases, and a range of low to mid 20 percent long-term profit growth. 2006 will be a challenging year for us, since we would be comparing against a truly phenomenal year to date in 2005.
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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One additional note. Adjusting our full year fiscal 2005 net income estimate for our projected diluted share count in 2006 results in a range of approximately $0.91 to $0.94 per share compared with next years forecasted range that would result in EPS growth consistent with our long-term strategic goals.
Finally, we expect fiscal 2006 to more closely resemble fiscal 2004 in terms of its seasonality by quarter. Typically our second and third quarters are much less profitable quarters than the fourth and first quarters. That was certainly not the case this year, as the positive impact from post hurricane sales led to a record third quarter, with strong double-digit comparable sales increases in both the second and third quarters this year and continued momentum expected for the fourth quarter in comparison to next year will be very difficult.
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With that, operator, Id like to now turn it back over to you to take any questions. |
Operator: Are you ready to take questions at this time, sir?
Tom Stoltz: Yes.
Ed Anderson: Yes, we are.
Operator: Thank you.
Todays question-and-answer session will be conducted electronically. If you would like to ask a question, please do so by pressing the star key followed by the digit one on your touch-tone telephone. If you are on a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. We will proceed in the order you signal us and well
CITI TRENDS
Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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take as many questions as time permits. Once again, that is star one to ask a question. And well pause for just a moment to give everyone a chance to signal.
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Our first question is from Dorothy Lakner with CIBC World Markets. |
Dorothy Lakner: Thanks. Congratulations, although I think the word is probably insufficient for how well youve done. Its really just phenomenal.
And I wanted to just maybe get a greater sense of the secret to your success and just talking about the amount of branded goods that youre selling as part of the merchandise assortment or as a percent of sales, however you think you could present it, versus where you were last year.
And just looking at the impact from the hurricanes, you talked about customers coming in with FEMA coupons and so forth. I wondered how long you might expect that to continue what youve seen in the past and how this year might be different.
And then finally when you talked about November sales continuing the momentum that youve seen, are you referring to the momentum you saw in the quarter overall in terms of the comp or the very strong comp that you saw in the month of October, just to give us a sense of what youre looking for.
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Thanks. |
Ed Anderson: OK. Dorothy, its Ed Anderson. Thank you for the nice comment there at the beginning. And I think I heard three questions from you.
Dorothy Lakner: Yes.
CITI TRENDS
Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
Page 11
Ed Anderson: One is youre asking us really whats the content in our business and whats really driving our business. I mentioned in my comments that our nationally recognized brands, those brands like FuBu, Phat Farm, Rocawear, Ecco, Baby Phat, have increased at a higher rate than our non-branded business has.
I believe weve said before that our nationally recognized brands as a percentage of our total business is in the range of 35 to 40 percent of our total across all categories on average.
Dorothy Lakner: Right.
Ed Anderson: That range is still accurate, but the numbers have increased this year over last year. Were not going to give you the exact number other than to tell you it has increased and its still in that range.
Dorothy Lakner: Right. But do you also think that youre getting since it doesnt seem like its perhaps increased an enormous amount, is it the kind of goods that youre getting better, more current and you have more brands that are what customers want than you had a year ago?
George Bellino: Its definitely increased as far as current. Were getting more current brands than we did before.
Dorothy Lakner: OK.
George Bellino: The same brands, but more current merchandise.
Dorothy Lakner: OK.
Ed Anderson: Dorothy that was George Bellino, our chief merchant speaking.
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11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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Dorothy Lakner: Yes.
Ed Anderson: We developed relationships with the branded manufacturers over time. And those relationships have continued to build, and as our company has gotten larger our capability to buy larger quantities of these brands. And so, its a combination of the relationship building as well as our capability to buy more ...
Dorothy Lakner: Yes.
Ed Anderson: ... and the fact that we focused our merchants specifically on buying branded apparel. We have merchants that are dedicated to buying brands in womens and merchants dedicated to buying brands in mens.
So, on the FEMA money and the federal money as well as Red Cross and Salvation Army money going into these hurricane affected areas, we really dont have a good fix on how much longer this continues. Weve heard that its going to continue at some level in some of the areas, but not all of the areas, as long as Christmas, but we dont really know that. And so, wed be speculating.
Dorothy Lakner: All right. But is it fair to say that this is much bigger than youve ever seen before for ...
Ed Anderson: Theres no question that this rebound impact and the amount of money being put into these areas I think but I think it correlates to the amount of devastation, frankly, in these areas because I think what you have with the not just the amount of wind damage that was direct from three separate hurricanes over less a 60-day period, but also the flood, which is I think is very unprecedented. So, I think the damage was unprecedented, the number of people that were left without homes is unprecedented, and the federal money and other money has gone with that.
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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So, I think it has had an effect. And we did not see this coming. We have seen smaller rebound effects over the last few years, as far back as five or six years ago in North Carolina, last year in Florida. But youre talking about three or four stores being affected for a briefer period of time. The fact that this impact had a negative direct impact on about 38 of our stores but we think stores in the surrounding areas ended up being a net benefit as well. So, we think we had probably 50 stores that had a positive impact from the storm.
Dorothy Lakner: Right.
Ed Anderson: And the amounts the timeframes are something that weve not ever seen before.
Your question about November, we, as you know, dont like to talk too specifically intra month or quarter about results for a month. Were not trying to be, I guess, too cute with the numbers, but our business has continued to be good. But I guess were just going to leave it at that at this point.
Dorothy Lakner: OK, thanks.
Ed Anderson: Sure.
Operator: And well take our next question from Elizabeth Montgomery with SG Cowen.
Elizabeth Montgomery: Hi. Its Beth Montgomery with SG Cowen. Congratulations.
Ed Anderson: Thank you, Beth.
Tom Stoltz: Thank you, Beth.
CITI TRENDS
Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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Elizabeth Montgomery: I apologize for this. I hopped on the call a little bit late. I just want to make sure Im understanding correctly that youre actually taking your Q4 guidance up as well, not just like the upside from Q3.
Tom Stoltz: Well, the full year impact, as we said, is $1 to $1.03. And you know the actual results from the third quarter. So, yes, you can deduce that the fourth quarter has gone up slightly in our expectations.
Elizabeth Montgomery: OK. And thats despite the fact that the tougher comparisons in the mens business really began really in December but even more so in January?
Tom Stoltz: Thats correct.
Elizabeth Montgomery: OK.
And youve already gone into, I guess, what the explanation for that is with the bigger shift towards the national brands?
Tom Stoltz: Correct.
Elizabeth Montgomery: OK.
I guess my question would then be if you could talk about maybe the early indications youve gotten on stores that are kind of in new demographic areas and if you have a better sense of where the additional consumer traffic that youre getting has been coming from.
Ed Anderson: OK, Beth. Its Ed Anderson.
CITI TRENDS
Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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Youre asking about what our new store experience has been in new areas this year, I guess. |
Elizabeth Montgomery: Well, more so how some of the stores that are in areas that have been targeting kind of a newer demographic have been trending, specifically the stores in Houston ...
Ed Anderson: OK, like Houston.
Elizabeth Montgomery: ... and if youre able to see where the additional or where the increased consumer traffic from your stores is coming from, whether its within your core demographic or whether its people kind of outside your target consumers.
Ed Anderson: I think what youre asking is there are markets in our area where, as you all know, that our primary customer base are African Americans. Over 70 percent of our customers across our company are African American, with the bulk of the remainder being Caucasian and, a lesser amount, Hispanics. However, in some of our markets, like Houston, for example, now in Dallas and San Antonio, were now in markets where the Hispanic population is consequential. And we have stores in areas where the Hispanic population is as much as half of the total demographic.
And we have, I guess, three or four stores in areas like that now in Houston, Dallas and San Antonio. And these stores have tracked very well and are doing at or above the new store average.
Elizabeth Montgomery: And is there any change that you can call out in terms of the product mix that could impact the margins or the growth opportunities for those stores?
Ed Anderson: We have done nothing to change any product mix in any of these stores. These stores are opened with and pretty much continue to carry the same merchandise mix as our other stores do.
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
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Elizabeth Montgomery: OK.
And then I believe that when we were talking during the road show you guys had kind of ones that maybe youd see a little bit of SG&A pressure from the new distribution center coming on line. And now it doesnt look like that could be happening. Is that a function of spending less money than you had first anticipated to get it up and running?
Ed Anderson: I think its a function of two things, Beth. I think its I think youre right. I think its a function that we are spending less on the building and related equipment than we had expected to, and the fact that we are getting the building up earlier than we had planned.
Elizabeth Montgomery: OK.
Ed Anderson: Weve already incurred some of the startup costs in a timeframe when our sales have been pretty good. So, we already have some of the startup costs behind us, and were expecting to get a consequential amount of the rest of the startup costs in the fourth quarter of 05, where previously we were expecting those startup costs to be in maybe the second or third quarter of 06.
And so, the answer is yes. Yes, on less because of the building costs and related costs, and also because we got this cost into a lower timeframe.
Elizabeth Montgomery: OK. Great. Thanks a lot, and congratulations.
Ed Anderson: Thank you.
Operator: Well go next to Jeff Klinefelter with Piper Jaffray.
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
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Jeff Klinefelter: Yes. Congratulations as well on a great year so far.
Ed Anderson: Thank you, Jeff.
Tom Stoltz: Thank you.
Jeff Klinefelter: A couple questions for you.
Have you mentioned that clearly you believe youre getting a lot of new customers given your traffic counts through particularly this very strong third quarter. Wondered if you could maybe just shed a little bit more light on how you are analyzing that, capturing the data, maybe thinking about how youre getting that customer in as a word of mouth, and how you sort of insure that you continue to service that customer and, importantly, find out maybe what other product categories you can deliver to them, and if its a different type of customer than youve normally had in your store.
And then the second one would be sort of a general question on managing the inventory that you have through the cycle were in. It seems like a lot of the brands youre talking about are obviously sold also in some of the department stores and other specialty stores. And there seems to be a real transition taking place again in for a number of those urban brands. How do we think about that now going into next year when theres probably a different set of brands available and maybe in different quantities as the space and traditional department stores is reallocated?
Ed Anderson: OK. Jeff, well attempt to tackle both those questions. Very different questions, the first one on the customers.
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
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We dont have a great deal of information about our customers. The information that we obtain we obtain through the point of sale transactions at checkout. We capture the transaction, the individual items in the transaction. So, we know what customers buy of each item, what the average item is, what the average basket is, and how many transactions we have. We dont try to correlate that to specific individuals. So, we took off transactions. And it could be the same customer 10 times or 10 different individuals. So, all of this data comes to us from point of sale.
We think its reasonably accurate. Weve tracked it over time. And so, were pretty confident that the increase in transactions really relates to increases in customer traffic. And, again, we do track the retail per item sold as well as the number of transactions each customer buys. And we thought what we would see is a marked increase in the size of the transactions. And while we saw a little bit of pick up in that, I think the surprise here is that we had a lot more transactions going on.
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And as far as knowing who these customers are, I we have nothing scientific on that. |
Jeff Klinefelter: OK. In terms of how youre reaching those customers, is there anything that youve been doing? I know theres fairly limited brand outreach in marketing. But anything at all that youre all doing or that youve been able to figure out thats been particularly effective?
Ed Anderson: Jeff, weve done nothing different.
Jeff Klinefelter: OK.
Ed Anderson: We still continue to advertise brand, as you know. We really have three advertising campaigns per year. We advertise at Easter and Back-to-School and Christmas, and thats primarily image advertising for the company over fairly brief time slots. And we advertise our grand openings fairly significantly. And weve done nothing different in the hurricane areas or
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
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anything else through this process. So, whatevers been getting our customers to our stores, the word of mouth and the amount of advertising weve been doing, has continued to do that.
Jeff Klinefelter: OK.
Ed Anderson: Now, on the other part on you believe that I guess from information that youre seeing is that youre seeing the potential for swapping out of some of the current brands into potentially new brands as we move into 06. Or I gather youre saying youre seeing some volatility in some of these brands and youre wondering how were managing through this process and what we expect to happen.
Jeff Klinefelter: Yes, thats correct. Essentially that a number of these weve gone through a few different cycles with some of the traditional sort of urban brands, whether it be department stores or specialty. And I think were as we go through that transition I think the idea is that there is excess product out there and available for you as you come to the market. Just curious now as we kind of cycle through some of that inventory in the next year how you kind of think about planning for that.
Ed Anderson: OK. Im going to give you the sort of the general philosophy on the way we run our business and why I think it works this cycle and other cycles. And Ill ask George to talk to you specifically about what hes seeing in the marketplace as far as softness among urban suppliers and what he might anticipate seeing as we go into next years first quarter. And thats probably about as far as we can see.
Our philosophy merchandising philosophy, and its really primarily Georges but its our company philosophy that we stay close in. The weighted average of open to buy is 90 days. While we do buy closeouts and occasionally buy closeouts that are large enough to carry into the
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
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next season that represents less than five percent of our business. And while we do off price buys we often do those in season and other buys in season.
So, we stay pretty close in. And thats I think thats good. It keeps our inventories fresh and healthy in a situation where like weve been where our business has been extraordinarily higher than we planned. It means that our merchandising team is pedaling pretty fast to keep up with the merchandise. And theyve done an excellent job of actually keeping up and keeping the merchandise flowing and keeping the inventories in a proper sales to inventory relationship.
Now, as far as specifics about softness in the marketplace among urban brands, George, why dont you address this with Jeff?
George Bellino: Theres always changes in the brands and whos hot and whos not. And this year the urban brands have been strong for the last three or four years. Some of them have softened up and has given us the opportunity to buy more goods from some of these people.
As we go forward were constantly in touch with the new brands that are coming out there. We may have a difficulty for the first season or two, maybe longer, to get them to sell us, but after a while with our credit and our persistence were able to get most of the new brands on board to sell us, especially as their inventory grows and they have their ups and downs as well.
Were constantly our approach is to constantly be out there looking for the next thing happening. So far weve been able to continue to get the brands that are hot. It may not be their first season, but we do eventually get them to sell us.
Ed Anderson: Jeff, one of the things that were hesitant to do is to call out specifics on brands, as you know. But youve heard us say before that those key brands for us, Baby Phat, Phat Farm,
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
Confirmation # 4373471
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Rocawear, Apple Bottoms and Dickies, those brands have been hot for us all year long. And weve really not seeing any tailing off among those very top brands.
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So, at this point we havent seen what youre telling us that youre seeing in other places. |
Jeff Klinefelter: OK, great. Well, thank you very much.
Ed Anderson: Sure.
Operator: And well now take a follow-up question from Dorothy Lakner with CIBC World Markets.
Dorothy Lakner: Yes, thanks. It was kind of a follow-up question to Jeffs. Just on the mens side of the business specifically, if you could talk about what youre doing thats different there because some of the competitors, I guess, in the urban space have not really have done very, very well with womens, but not so well with the mens business. So, I just wonder where youre different.
And then a just a question housekeeping question. If you could give the square footage at the end of the quarter.
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Thanks. |
Ed Anderson: Our mens business had been soft, as you know, through the beginning of 04. Our mens business started picking up as we entered the second half of 04. And our mens business has been strong through 05. In fact, this quarter it was somewhat higher than womens. I believe on a year to date basis mens and womens is pretty close to being equal. Isnt that right, Tom and George, were pretty close to equal?
Tom Stoltz: Yes.
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
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Ed Anderson: We get asked this question a lot. And I think it may be that our customer is looking for different brands than some of the other stores sell and perhaps different fashion. Thats probably as specific as I can care to be.
George, do you have anything to add to that about what our mens business versus other peoples mens business?
George Bellino: A lot of the brands some of the retailers give up on them too early. Theres a if you bring the prices down, and many times you can sell those brands.
Dorothy Lakner: Yes.
George Bellino: Thats happened with us. Weve had disasters a couple times with going into a brand for the first season or two and then been able to work with them and where they can still come out alive or help them move inventory. And we can bring the prices down and give our customers a better value. And that brand develops into being a very successful brand for us.
Ed Anderson: Remember, what we say about brands and fashion is we believe the look is more important than the brand. And we know thats counterintuitive to what a lot of people think about urban fashions, but we really believe that its got to be the right look first and the brand second. Even though brands are consequential to our business, we think if it wasnt the right fashion look the brand wouldnt make any difference.
Dorothy Lakner: No.
Ed Anderson: OK.
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Moderator: Tom Stoltz
11-21-05/4:00 p.m. CT
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Tom Stoltz: Square footage is just over two million square feet at the end of the quarter for about a 21 percent increase.
Dorothy Lakner: OK. Great. Thank you.
Operator: And, once again, ladies and gentlemen, that is star one to as a question. And as a reminder, make sure that mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment.
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Gentlemen, it appears we have no further questions at this time. |
Ed Anderson: OK. Thank you all for joining the call today, and we look forward to the next one.
Operator: This does conclude todays conference call. We thank you for your participation, and have a great day.
END